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In September, the price of compound fertilizer will fall or not? There’s an update!

The market of compound fertilizer is mainly stable, and the prices of individual regions and products are slightly reduced. At present, the national 45%(15-15-15) chlorine-based compound fertilizer mainstream factory quotation in 2350-2550 yuan/ton, 45%(15-15-15) sulfur-based compound fertilizer mainstream factory quotation in 2800-2910 yuan/ton.

 

The current mainstream offer: 45%(15-15-15) sulfur compound fertilizer the current mainstream offer is 2800-2910 yuan/ton, 45%(15-15-15) chlorine-based compound fertilizer reference price is 2350-2550 yuan/ton. At present, the mainstream factory price of 45% high-nitrogen wheat fertilizer is 2500~2650 yuan/ton, and the factory price of 45% high-phosphorus wheat fertilizer is 2600~2850 yuan/ton, which is 100~150 yuan lower than the first round of factory prices in July.

 

The autumn fertilizer market is slowly advancing, dealers take goods at their own pace, the operating rate of the compound fertilizer factory is about 40%, and some orders are waiting to be issued in local areas.The price fluctuation of compound fertilizer market in this season is relatively small, and the price of compound fertilizer is relatively stable when the phosphate fertilizer rises in the early stage. In August, the three major raw materials have declined to varying degrees, especially the slight increase of ammonium to the compound fertilizer factory caused a lot of pressure, driven by the sentiment of buying up and not buying down, the downstream storage and sales rhythm is becoming slower and slower, the downstream demand support is insufficient to make the overall trading atmosphere continue to stalemate, although some local areas have successively received goods, but the overall market is not active at this stage. The low season has not changed. If the price of ammonium continues to fall in the later period, the compound fertilizer may be forced to adjust the price downward, and if the downstream terminal market ends the stalemate and picks up, it may be able to drive the overall market out of the downturn.

In terms of raw materials, the price of main raw materials such as urea, ammonium phosphate and potassium fertilizer has been adjusted by shocks recently. Urea prices continue to fall, exacerbating the cost pressure on the compound fertilizer market and the market wait-and-see mood. Ammonium phosphate market as a whole firm, the local market down. The overall trend of potassium fertilizer is weak, the price of potassium chloride fluctuates slightly, and the sales pressure of potassium sulfate increases.

 

Overall, the domestic compound fertilizer market is mainly stable, prices in some areas have been slightly adjusted, and recent raw material prices have fluctuated, which has a slight impact on the production cost of compound fertilizer, but the scope of impact is limited. Some compound fertilizer enterprises in addition to some high-nitrogen products by urea price reduction and bright and dark decline, most prices remain stable.

 

Future market forecast: With the shortening of fertilizer preparation time in autumn, the enthusiasm of downstream dealers to pick up goods will be improved, and the market will gradually increase the volume of goods. It is expected that the compound fertilizer market will be stabilized in the short term.


Post time: Sep-02-2024